Irvin22222
0xe46e0ee94e1894d6a296b37fbe1daf55eb19c07d
- Realised P&L
- $878.14
- Volume
- $119.4k
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $74.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$937.97at 0.041Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$311.34at 0.204Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
- +$288.58at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$277.31at 0.157US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$240.19at 0.026US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 08:19 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $18.66 |
| 09-25 19:12 | Will Italy vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 18:51 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5299999977 | $48.68 |
| 09-20 16:44 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.58 |
| 09-20 16:36 | Will OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 16:31 | Will OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3419452823 | $12.00 |
| 09-20 03:37 | Will AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 15:28 | Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $22.00 |
| 09-19 15:20 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | SELL | 0.93 | $103.23 |
| 09-19 11:33 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $28.86 |
| 09-16 05:55 | Will Sunderland AFC vs. AZ end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999986 | $19.13 |
| 09-16 05:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 20:00 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $106.16 |
| 09-15 10:55 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $19.13 |
| 09-14 20:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.58 |