0xe468fa5f910cf4ff1cc10def3f85d1949b106e3f
- Realised P&L
- $-294.82
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $94.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Miami Marlins | 0.390 | 0.215 | $93.88 | −$76.41 |
| New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.220 | 0.001 | $0.32 | −$142.16 |
| AA Ponte Preta leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.001 | $0.22 | −$75.54 |
| Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.001 | $0.18 | −$71.18 |
| Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$65.64 |
| Al Nassr Club leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.39 |
| Genoa CFC leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.59 |
| Valencia CF leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.15 |
| Elche CF leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Villarreal CF leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.52 |
| Deportivo Alavés leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.64 |
| FC Südtirol leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$259.42at 0.240Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$204.38at 0.394Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$184.26at 0.230Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$151.47at 0.343Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
- +$139.26at 0.021Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:43 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.3899999997 | $170.29 |
| 09-16 01:33 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.99 | $342.43 |
| 09-16 00:39 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.3799999998 | $131.44 |
| 09-16 00:38 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.2199999999 | $142.48 |
| 09-15 23:53 | Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.3699999993 | $65.73 |
| 09-15 23:24 | Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.2 | $71.36 |
| 09-15 22:41 | AA Ponte Preta leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.172454778 | $75.76 |
| 09-15 22:22 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.3399999988 | $51.15 |
| 09-15 21:15 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.0696255044 | $215.66 |
| 09-15 20:59 | Tiburon: Blaise Bicknell vs Trevor Svajda | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $64.98 |
| 09-15 20:44 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $71.21 |
| 09-15 19:59 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.02 | $61.95 |
| 09-15 19:45 | Elche CF leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 19:44 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.75 | $120.17 |
| 09-15 19:12 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.2749739951 | $44.06 |