momingqimiao
0xe461b8fed3ac77124730ca3096b6800206dca797
- Realised P&L
- $-86.15
- Volume
- $70.6k
- Markets traded
- 7,669
- Open portfolio
- $260.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,669
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.50at 0.492Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$190.82at 0.087Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET
- +$91.90at 0.552Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$66.10at 0.820Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$63.95at 0.327Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-18 03:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.14 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 03:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $1.54 |
| 09-18 03:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-18 03:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-18 03:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.0765 | $1.53 |
| 09-18 03:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-18 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-18 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-18 03:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-18 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-18 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |