PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe453628d66CA5Fe521Ef7A676c2A4CB9dF8830b7-1730616843545

0xe453628d66ca5fe521ef7a676c2a4cb9df8830b7

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$15.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-56.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · Yes0.8770.996$15.82+$1.88
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 19? · Yes0.5760.000$0.00−$18.85
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 18? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$11.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 16:42Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 19?BUY0.42$1.99
07-17 10:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 17?BUY0.3429825765$10.00
07-17 10:36Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.8799999296$10.00
07-16 19:24Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 17?BUY0.06$0.30
07-16 19:22Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?BUY0.19$1.90
07-16 19:17Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?BUY0.994$9.94
12-18 02:43Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?BUY0.74$1.11
11-04 12:222024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseBUY0.8499936249$0.08
11-04 06:47Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.5749999954$37.30