0xe44b4afda59b890e0c6ad811d1a0ddc43d754982
0xe44b4afda59b890e0c6ad811d1a0ddc43d754982
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $63.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.155 | $1.6k | −$3.5k |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.763UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$1.0kat 0.331Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
- +$815.79at 0.380Volkov vs. Almeida
- +$777.83at 0.720UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$758.77at 0.568UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKee
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 14:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $5.0k |
| 07-06 19:53 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.39 | $100.23 |
| 07-06 19:14 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 00:02 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999997 | $200.00 |
| 03-21 23:20 | UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 03-21 23:17 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $302.73 |
| 03-21 23:16 | UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.3605957523 | $121.06 |
| 03-21 22:35 | UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6999999997 | $235.00 |
| 03-21 21:32 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6599999989 | $200.00 |
| 11-25 14:31 | MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.9k |
| 11-25 14:14 | MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $3.0k |
| 11-22 18:13 | UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.72 | $1.0k |
| 10-30 11:58 | Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.006 | $7.20 |
| 10-25 18:41 | Volkov vs. Almeida | BUY | 0.3799999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-14 02:28 | Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |