Greysok
0xe443b5f6105c075f562a24f658a396451170c065
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $324.4k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.354Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
- +$1.2kat 0.505Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$946.32at 0.289Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
- +$912.09at 0.110Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$514.06at 0.031Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 13:27 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $22.50 |
| 07-29 11:47 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.1327899279 | $132.79 |
| 07-29 10:37 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $33.60 |
| 07-29 10:37 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.136099961 | $136.10 |
| 07-29 06:43 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $19.14 |
| 07-29 06:11 | Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $80.36 |
| 07-29 04:51 | Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 07-28 03:45 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $84.53 |
| 07-28 03:45 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 07-28 03:27 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.8999984252 | $114.30 |
| 07-28 03:26 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.899 | $22.48 |
| 07-28 03:23 | Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.955 | $28.65 |
| 07-26 18:00 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0901285714 | $18.93 |
| 07-25 14:03 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599751429 | $90.99 |
| 07-25 14:03 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $47.75 |