PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Greysok

0xe443b5f6105c075f562a24f658a396451170c065

Realised P&L
$5.6k
Volume
$346.6k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3600.955$801.78+$499.38
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.930$545.14+$134.81
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.4000.940$376.09+$216.03
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.4710.655$360.90+$101.37
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.5830.925$349.69+$129.36
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No0.6500.894$249.60+$68.12
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4980.485$246.14$6.40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · No0.8420.930$140.45+$13.28
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.975$86.62+$37.73
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · No0.6700.959$76.72+$23.12
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.5700.795$46.09+$13.04
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.2900.590$26.55+$13.50
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1820.032$15.06$70.45
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.290$14.79$9.18
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0140.008$4.60$3.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 18:33Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.29$13.05
09-12 18:10Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$96.90
09-12 18:10Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$81.00
09-12 15:45Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2737143546$215.77
09-12 15:44Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.3428245445$317.45
09-12 12:13Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.35$4.20
09-12 12:13Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.36$186.48
09-12 12:10Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.4$67.60
09-02 05:43Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0040825003$10.52
08-31 21:21Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$72.64
08-31 13:48Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.30
08-31 13:47Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.002$1.00
08-31 13:47Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0084518994$6.27
08-30 15:19Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.39$35.49
08-30 15:19Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.38$11.78