PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Greysok

0xe443b5f6105c075f562a24f658a396451170c065

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$324.4k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3600.845$709.80+$407.40
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.855$501.18+$90.85
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.585$494.32$29.57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.6100.580$464.00$24.00
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.6300.640$384.00+$6.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.4000.915$366.09+$206.03
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2460.235$362.13$16.61
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.5830.900$340.24+$119.91
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.940$83.56+$34.67
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · No0.6700.750$60.00+$6.40
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.5700.810$46.96+$13.91
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1820.081$37.89$47.62
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No0.6500.660$33.00+$0.50
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · No0.9570.963$19.25+$0.11
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.0530.090$6.75+$2.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 13:27Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?SELL0.09$22.50
07-29 11:47Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?BUY0.1327899279$132.79
07-29 10:37Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?BUY0.14$33.60
07-29 10:37Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?BUY0.136099961$136.10
07-29 06:43Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.957$19.14
07-29 06:11Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?BUY0.98$80.36
07-29 04:51Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?BUY0.996$99.60
07-28 03:45Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.79$84.53
07-28 03:45Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.78$23.40
07-28 03:27Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.8999984252$114.30
07-28 03:26Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.899$22.48
07-28 03:23Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?BUY0.955$28.65
07-26 18:00Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0901285714$18.93
07-25 14:03Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2599751429$90.99
07-25 14:03Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.25$47.75