PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RichRichster

0xe43d82ea383414e718cd5feb4053d13dff86f095

Realised P&L
$3.00
Volume
$22.7k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$723.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes0.5920.805$432.60+$114.60
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · No0.2500.115$93.45$109.55
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4650.439$86.86$5.14
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes0.1700.135$73.06$18.94
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.2510.130$20.75$19.25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1300.040$13.85$31.15
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0300.004$3.00$17.00
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? · No0.4640.000$0.00$439.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 07:48Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1299999975$45.00
08-15 10:38Will Zhou Yuelong Win the China Open?BUY0.9099999993$40.00
08-15 09:42Will Zhou Yuelong Win the China Open?BUY0.9045725639$50.00
08-06 13:46Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.202020202$20.00
08-04 14:36Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3299999922$20.00
08-02 06:13Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?BUY0.4803921549$50.00
08-02 05:40Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?BUY0.4621136558$389.00
08-02 04:58Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4649999982$92.00
08-01 12:50Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.030044246$20.00
07-22 06:08Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?BUY0.1699999978$55.00
07-22 06:07Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?BUY0.6347529509$205.00
07-22 05:50Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?BUY0.1699999968$37.00
07-22 05:49Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?BUY0.5269687622$113.00
07-15 12:07Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.226$30.13
07-12 14:28Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.3202291335$223.00