RichRichster
0xe43d82ea383414e718cd5feb4053d13dff86f095
- Realised P&L
- $3.00
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $723.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes | 0.592 | 0.805 | $432.60 | +$114.60 |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · No | 0.250 | 0.115 | $93.45 | −$109.55 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.465 | 0.439 | $86.86 | −$5.14 |
| Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.135 | $73.06 | −$18.94 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.130 | $20.75 | −$19.25 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.040 | $13.85 | −$31.15 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.004 | $3.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? · No | 0.464 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$439.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.259Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
- +$1.0kat 0.500Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$781.65at 0.322Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$3.30at 0.108Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-5.21at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 07:48 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1299999975 | $45.00 |
| 08-15 10:38 | Will Zhou Yuelong Win the China Open? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $40.00 |
| 08-15 09:42 | Will Zhou Yuelong Win the China Open? | BUY | 0.9045725639 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 13:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.202020202 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:36 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 06:13 | Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | BUY | 0.4803921549 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 05:40 | Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | BUY | 0.4621136558 | $389.00 |
| 08-02 04:58 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4649999982 | $92.00 |
| 08-01 12:50 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.030044246 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 06:08 | Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1699999978 | $55.00 |
| 07-22 06:07 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6347529509 | $205.00 |
| 07-22 05:50 | Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1699999968 | $37.00 |
| 07-22 05:49 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5269687622 | $113.00 |
| 07-15 12:07 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.226 | $30.13 |
| 07-12 14:28 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.3202291335 | $223.00 |