PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vravroum

0xe434ddea0e857d83c584b47bc31db1fccaeaefb0

Realised P&L
$-28.41
Volume
$910.66
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$664.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9290.958$44.93+$1.34
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7820.765$42.43−$0.97
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9200.915$42.27−$0.23
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? · No0.7900.865$32.27+$2.80
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.6790.710$30.55+$1.34
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.8100.815$29.07+$0.18
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.8900.885$28.95−$0.16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8400.835$28.76−$0.17
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15? · Yes0.9400.935$28.45−$0.15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7800.785$28.24+$0.18
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9100.910$28.17+$0.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8600.855$27.95−$0.16
Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? · No0.9000.883$27.80−$0.52
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.6790.630$27.69−$2.17
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · No0.5500.530$27.61−$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 00:55Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.55$5.50
10-11 18:31Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?BUY0.9$28.32
10-11 14:19Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.91$28.17
10-11 10:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.86$28.11
10-11 10:13US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.78$28.06
10-11 10:09Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?BUY0.94$10.75
10-11 08:01US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.92$14.22
10-11 07:01US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.92$28.28
10-11 07:01US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.81$14.12
10-11 05:31Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.67883802$29.21
10-11 00:19US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.77$29.28
10-10 23:07Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?BUY0.79$29.47
10-10 22:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.928$14.50
10-10 21:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.93007289$29.09
10-10 16:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.84$28.93