Mephy
0xe4278fe1c80c35c60dcac2b4af1e3754ce5f0d65
- Realised P&L
- $-44.45
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,203
- Open portfolio
- $3.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,203
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys vs. Packers · Packers | 0.490 | 0.485 | $2.47 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Cowboys | 0.250 | 0.235 | $1.22 | −$0.08 |
| Bills vs. Raiders · Raiders | 0.320 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.65 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-14? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
| Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5) · Telstar 1963 | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
| IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
| Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.17 |
| Will Colombia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.96at 0.208Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?
- +$18.84at 0.218Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-13?
- +$13.44at 0.280Will Heidelberg United FC win on 2026-08-12?
- +$12.50at 0.290Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04?
- +$12.50at 0.290Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:48 | Cowboys vs. Packers | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $2.50 |
| 10-18 23:28 | Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) | BUY | 0.25 | $1.30 |
| 10-18 20:11 | Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 60.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $1.65 |
| 10-18 20:11 | Bills vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.32 | $1.65 |
| 10-18 19:30 | Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.4599999687 | $2.35 |
| 10-18 19:30 | Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $2.05 |
| 10-18 19:30 | Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.4499999217 | $2.30 |
| 10-18 19:10 | Spread: Rams (-21.5) | BUY | 0.78 | $3.95 |
| 10-18 18:55 | Fluminense FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699999723 | $6.38 |
| 10-18 18:55 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.53 |
| 10-18 18:52 | Burgos CF vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.699999991 | $7.81 |
| 10-18 18:52 | Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.79 |
| 10-18 18:40 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4099999885 | $4.62 |
| 10-18 17:55 | FC Twente vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $6.16 |
| 10-18 17:12 | Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.75 | $8.36 |