yingdeyi
0xe424c2e1a6b15a0345a8774079add4ed59e6496f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.65
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $2.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.645 | $1.31 | −$0.11 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.960 | 0.979 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils · Devils | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.78 |
| Ducks vs. Islanders · Ducks | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? · No | 0.965 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.73at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$0.31at 0.998Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$0.18at 0.900Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
- +$0.16at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 10:05 | Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999998028 | $1.42 |
| 09-10 13:18 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.20 |
| 08-26 15:16 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.20 |
| 07-23 06:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.10 |
| 05-31 09:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.00 |
| 05-05 12:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.00 |
| 04-26 03:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $157.98 |
| 04-21 02:33 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $160.31 |
| 04-16 01:27 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.995221155 | $159.52 |
| 04-09 07:51 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.98 |
| 03-24 07:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.00 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.00 |
| 03-11 10:46 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.9979999951 | $155.00 |
| 03-06 09:03 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.50 |
| 03-06 09:03 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999945 | $155.00 |