0xe4243dee606ec99310154f5f22715a957c0b5051
0xe4243dee606ec99310154f5f22715a957c0b5051
- Realised P&L
- $5.80
- Volume
- $76.33
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $3.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.995 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.560 | 0.600 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.460 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:06 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:45 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:25 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:16 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:54 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:14 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 19:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 08:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.37 |
| 09-11 08:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.17 |
| 09-10 22:47 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 02:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:55 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |