PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE419dcBB5Ca830A2027f9196A311E8A3Eb2D55F8-1772318733027

0xe419dcbb5ca830a2027f9196a311e8a3eb2d55f8

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$81.9k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$106.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Macron out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.020$100.12−$95.11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · No0.0410.019$6.62−$7.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Up0.0330.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$17.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.1260.000$0.00−$75.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$52.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$11.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.3480.000$0.00−$26.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.2520.000$0.00−$49.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$20.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.1450.000$0.00−$50.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.1050.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.0412342215$14.00
10-31 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.01$4.00
10-31 11:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.9699999896$13.00
10-30 23:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.03$1.62
10-30 23:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.0883352206$13.00
10-30 23:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.0699999999$13.00
10-30 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.16$5.00
10-30 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.1699999983$13.00
10-30 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.2299999965$13.00
10-30 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.2199999966$13.00
10-30 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.2299999965$13.00
10-30 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.3899999922$13.00
10-30 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.3899999922$13.00
10-30 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.3899999922$13.00
10-30 23:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.2299999965$13.00