0xe416e550a8a5ae14f03d4a6fae86025f4c52fc20
0xe416e550a8a5ae14f03d4a6fae86025f4c52fc20
- Realised P&L
- $18.17
- Volume
- $340.41
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $17.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$5.63at 0.268S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$3.34at 0.382Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:44 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 14:44 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 18:44 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 10:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 01:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 11:13 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 11:12 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 03:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 06:01 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 21:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 12:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:58 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 19:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 02:55 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |