0xKive
0xe414b2d900975ace9b652e46a8ad18b2edd1bdc6
- Realised P&L
- $-176.74
- Volume
- $108.7k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $64.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.29at 0.724Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?
- +$17.38at 0.580Wild vs. Canadiens
- +$7.89at 0.600Rockets vs. Hawks
- +$6.90at 0.670Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$3.26at 0.860Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 06:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.00 |
| 09-10 02:43 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $59.00 |
| 08-19 02:30 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 08-19 02:30 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 02:29 | Will Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $12.07 |
| 08-03 03:41 | Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |
| 08-03 03:40 | Will Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 08-03 03:40 | Will MiniMax be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.00 |
| 08-03 03:40 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 07-19 09:25 | Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 09:25 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $12.00 |
| 07-19 09:24 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.00 |
| 07-19 09:24 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 05:57 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.7699999824 | $7.00 |
| 07-04 05:57 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |