PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xKive

0xe414b2d900975ace9b652e46a8ad18b2edd1bdc6

Realised P&L
$-176.74
Volume
$108.7k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$64.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11? · No0.9990.997$58.85−$0.15
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9940.999$1.34+$0.01
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9920.996$1.18+$0.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.971$1.16+$0.19
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9911.000$1.08+$0.01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.3000.032$1.03−$8.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$2.20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$19.00
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$19.30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$2.25
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$43.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bucks vs. Wizards · Bucks0.5600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 06:17Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11?BUY0.999$59.00
09-10 02:43Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.997$59.00
08-19 02:30Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.999$7.00
08-19 02:30Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
08-19 02:29Will Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.997$12.07
08-03 03:41Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$14.00
08-03 03:40Will Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.998$13.00
08-03 03:40Will MiniMax be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.998$16.00
08-03 03:40Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.999$16.00
07-19 09:25Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.996$15.00
07-19 09:25Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.987$12.00
07-19 09:24Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.998$16.00
07-19 09:24Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$15.00
07-04 05:57Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.7699999824$7.00
07-04 05:57Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.8$10.00