PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe40c9214Bef9102fe90b07D220B87d2c0C48074a-1764661017812

0xe40c9214bef9102fe90b07d220b87d2c0c48074a

Realised P&L
$23.51
Volume
$36.7k
Markets traded
516
Open portfolio
$4.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded516
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Paris Basketball vs. Virtus Bologna · Virtus Bologna0.3800.395$2.08+$0.08
Partizan vs. Panathinaikos · Partizan0.3100.355$1.15+$0.15
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda · ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne0.4500.435$0.97−$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0920.006$0.07−$0.93
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$15.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs0.3130.000$0.00−$16.00
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder · Trail Blazers0.1450.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4850.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00−$10.00
Suns vs. Nets · Nets0.2400.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$9.00
Pelicans vs. Hornets · Pelicans0.2800.000$0.00−$7.00
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors · Trail Blazers0.2300.000$0.00−$15.00
Olimpia Milano vs. Partizan · Partizan0.2300.000$0.00−$15.00
Pistons vs. Hornets · Hornets0.4300.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:59Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0919999934$1.00
10-13 12:33Partizan vs. PanathinaikosBUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-13 12:25Paris Basketball vs. Virtus BolognaBUY0.3799999924$2.00
10-13 12:24ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaBUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-13 12:22Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?SELL0.74$6.90
10-13 12:18Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.75$7.00
10-13 12:14Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.812$5.13
10-12 16:49Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.1579999981$1.00
10-12 16:48Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.1289999997$1.00
10-08 19:55Real Madrid vs. PartizanBUY0.1199999976$2.00
10-06 02:35Lakers vs. KingsBUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-23 13:08Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.0212684707$2.00
09-23 13:08Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.1069999988$4.00
09-22 15:42Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.99$7.07
09-22 08:59Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$2.00