0xe40c9214Bef9102fe90b07D220B87d2c0C48074a-1764661017812
0xe40c9214bef9102fe90b07d220b87d2c0c48074a
- Realised P&L
- $23.51
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 516
- Open portfolio
- $4.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded516
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Basketball vs. Virtus Bologna · Virtus Bologna | 0.380 | 0.395 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Partizan vs. Panathinaikos · Partizan | 0.310 | 0.355 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda · ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 0.450 | 0.435 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.006 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.313 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder · Trail Blazers | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Suns vs. Nets · Nets | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Hornets · Pelicans | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors · Trail Blazers | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Olimpia Milano vs. Partizan · Partizan | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$352.92at 0.028Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$114.07at 0.177Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$80.91at 0.110Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$67.17at 0.151Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
- +$60.45at 0.177Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:59 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0919999934 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:33 | Partizan vs. Panathinaikos | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:25 | Paris Basketball vs. Virtus Bologna | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 12:24 | ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $6.90 |
| 10-13 12:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.00 |
| 10-13 12:14 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.812 | $5.13 |
| 10-12 16:49 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1579999981 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 16:48 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1289999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:55 | Real Madrid vs. Partizan | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 02:35 | Lakers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0212684707 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1069999988 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $7.07 |
| 09-22 08:59 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |