Mysaria
0xe40aaa5ce1dac0b7dc24c9d0284f27e17c3fe4a2
- Realised P&L
- $154.3k
- Volume
- $8.62M
- Markets traded
- 34,576
- Open portfolio
- $8.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded34,576
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberto Fernández win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.005 | $6.00 | −$12.72 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.002 | $2.40 | −$16.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.6kat 0.001Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$23.1kat 0.460Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$18.5kat 0.562Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$12.2kat 0.582Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.7kat 0.006Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.58 | $9.41 |
| 09-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.90 |
| 09-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.19 |
| 09-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.60 |
| 09-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.86 | $13.95 |
| 09-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.19 |
| 09-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.20 |
| 09-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.90 |
| 09-07 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.995 | $17.91 |
| 09-07 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.61 | $10.98 |
| 09-07 14:27 | Will Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.09 |
| 09-07 14:27 | Will Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.08 |
| 09-07 14:27 | Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.18 |
| 09-07 14:27 | Will Arturo Nahle García win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.09 |
| 09-07 14:27 | Will Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.09 |