med355
0xe409a4cc89d1e7f274c7af7df653e70884997ccc
- Realised P&L
- $-5.89
- Volume
- $100.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $569.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.220 | $569.37 | −$381.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.22at 0.942Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
- +$108.40at 0.995Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$66.73at 0.672Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$6.26at 0.998Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
- +$0.57at 0.968Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-16 20:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $786.58 |
| 02-15 04:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | SELL | 0.972 | $49.88 |