skftx
0xe40603bacb63da70f02568507fba82b3c865f497
- Realised P&L
- $31.69
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $62.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.28at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 8?
- +$20.26at 0.561Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$13.33at 0.691Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$13.32at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?
- +$9.94at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:07 | Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.86 |
| 08-04 16:03 | Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.054 | $2.06 |
| 08-04 16:03 | Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.75 |
| 08-04 16:03 | Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.73 |
| 07-13 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.35 | $0.64 |
| 07-13 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 07-13 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.97 |
| 07-13 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $0.60 |
| 07-08 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 07-08 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 07-04 10:55 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 07-04 10:55 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by July 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 07-04 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.346 | $1.73 |
| 07-04 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.29 | $6.09 |
| 07-02 08:34 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |