PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skftx

0xe40603bacb63da70f02568507fba82b3c865f497

Realised P&L
$31.69
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$62.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6540.535$27.49$6.12
Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.0300.404$23.27+$21.54
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31? · Yes0.1300.410$8.20+$5.60
Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.0540.032$1.83$1.30
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? · Yes0.1100.045$1.80$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$2.15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on May 12? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$10.62
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 9? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 10? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 13? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:07Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.66$13.86
08-04 16:03Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.054$2.06
08-04 16:03Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.65$19.75
08-04 16:03Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.03$1.73
07-13 08:19Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 15?BUY0.35$0.64
07-13 08:19Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?BUY0.36$2.88
07-13 08:19Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 15?BUY0.33$2.97
07-13 08:18Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15?BUY0.32$0.60
07-08 07:55Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?BUY0.35$1.75
07-08 07:55Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 10?BUY0.38$1.90
07-04 10:55Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?BUY0.13$2.60
07-04 10:55Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by July 31?BUY0.86$17.20
07-04 10:22Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6?BUY0.346$1.73
07-04 10:22Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6?BUY0.29$6.09
07-02 08:34Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?BUY0.11$4.40