PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wassa-wassa-wassa-up-bitconnect

0xe402380d564cc3a064490b8342f1c6cfb359e500

Realised P&L
$463.97
Volume
$17.3k
Markets traded
251
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded251
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8600.977$1.8k+$210.76
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.983$128.57+$5.57
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8440.966$124.62+$15.62
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.8470.952$84.27+$9.27
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · No0.9320.982$50.55+$2.55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7800.945$49.66+$8.66
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6650.955$38.79+$11.79
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.984$32.42+$2.42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7390.915$32.17+$6.17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9320.980$30.48+$1.48
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.7480.972$25.99+$5.99
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9070.972$17.13+$1.13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.6900.975$16.95+$4.95
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9200.960$12.52+$0.52
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? · No0.9260.972$11.54+$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 18:50Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-23 18:491 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-23 18:48Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?BUY0.92$5.00
10-23 18:46Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8739999196$1.00
10-23 18:42Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.889999911$1.00
10-23 18:41Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-23 18:41Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.9$1.00
08-21 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
02-17 02:47Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.756$1.00
02-17 02:46Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.91$5.00
02-17 02:46Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
02-17 00:09US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?BUY0.99$30.00
02-17 00:08US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.9409998504$5.00
02-17 00:08Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.899999892$5.00
02-17 00:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.649999883$5.00