0xe4016b957fbc2a3a9f6822ecec37b7fd25c78784
0xe4016b957fbc2a3a9f6822ecec37b7fd25c78784
- Realised P&L
- $40.39
- Volume
- $22.85
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $12.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar176.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.605 | $9.60 | +$1.67 |
| St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur · Murphy Cassone | 0.560 | 0.560 | $2.95 | +$0.00 |
| San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs J.J. Wolf · J.J. Wolf | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.79 |
| Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens · Sloane Stephens | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.44 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.30 |
| Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger · Mitchell Krueger | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.67 |
| Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur · Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.13 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 55.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.30at 0.500Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
- +$8.77at 0.500Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- +$8.47at 0.500Panthers vs. Falcons
- +$6.17at 0.500Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolar
- +$5.37at 0.500Phan Thiet 4: Moise Kouame vs Florent Bax
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:46 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur | BUY | 0.5599999317 | $2.95 |
| 09-20 14:49 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-19 03:10 | T20 Series Japan vs Hong Kong: Japan vs Hong Kong, China | SELL | 0.74 | $3.48 |
| 09-18 03:13 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | SELL | 0.999 | $2.88 |