Ziraldo
0xe3fca04b0cdb7ba99d596c30b5735fc80b84e300
- Realised P&L
- $-452.55
- Volume
- $64.3k
- Markets traded
- 283
- Open portfolio
- $50.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded283
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.13at 0.888Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$64.24at 0.361Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?
- +$59.38at 0.861US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$40.32at 0.550Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$38.45at 0.241Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2119999996 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 22:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.78 | $99.11 |
| 10-25 22:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7869999986 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 22:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2210690176 | $67.26 |
| 10-25 22:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 22:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3909999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 22:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4039999975 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 22:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3838841697 | $280.91 |
| 10-25 22:22 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.474709 | $47.47 |
| 10-25 21:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6641392621 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 21:18 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | SELL | 0.945 | $9.45 |
| 10-25 21:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6819999348 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 21:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6769999883 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 21:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6949999618 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 21:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6679999947 | $5.00 |