0xe3dEf294cD4ac865fb1a6C63532e35b370Ae0876-1767487454268
0xe3def294cd4ac865fb1a6c63532e35b370ae0876
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $25.8k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $105.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.025 | $72.86 | −$127.14 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.028 | $33.12 | −$66.88 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? · Yes | 0.551 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$825.81at 0.211US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$123.00at 0.250Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
- +$78.46at 0.584Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
- +$77.78at 0.680Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$25.98at 0.757Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 05:50 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999997 | $200.00 |
| 05-22 04:43 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $100.00 |
| 05-21 23:01 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 05-21 22:01 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 05-21 16:11 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2696004503 | $100.00 |
| 05-21 14:53 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $110.00 |
| 05-19 00:16 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 21:27 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 11:11 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.1913875598 | $40.00 |
| 05-18 06:49 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2914715277 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 06:48 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2689242943 | $20.00 |
| 05-18 06:48 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2316134405 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 06:48 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 05-18 04:40 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 04:34 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.4026481128 | $100.00 |