KingJames-23
0xe3d225b9cd6ec09e6a5f856fc47fc6f27f38cca5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.56
- Volume
- $402.69
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $19.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.967 | $19.34 | +$4.94 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks? · No | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.50 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.00at 0.660Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?
- +$13.00at 0.740Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?
- +$11.00at 0.780Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks?
- +$2.63at 0.300Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$-0.05at 0.044Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 10:23 | Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 03-25 07:05 | Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 01-23 12:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.38 |
| 01-21 08:09 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.95 |
| 01-21 08:04 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | BUY | 0.0439999593 | $1.00 |