0xe3d1e15273645d1411bc6aae126306a0af6ef6eb
- Realised P&L
- $-48.09
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $6.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.035 | $6.44 | −$8.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.82 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 13:01 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $14.71 |
| 07-25 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.0805969974 | $4.00 |
| 06-15 10:37 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0206794171 | $19.08 |
| 06-15 10:36 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0198391379 | $12.74 |
| 06-14 10:23 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0247528429 | $4.00 |