AlanYagami-T
0xe3d176f5eb48cd7c370236020cb6baee37a4d312
- Realised P&L
- $-783.64
- Volume
- $318.7k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.536US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$818.71at 0.407JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$604.86at 0.618US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
- +$558.99at 0.931Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$541.64at 0.327US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 02:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 02:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6748639478 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 02:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9970543667 | $299.12 |
| 08-01 02:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $154.00 |
| 08-01 02:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $154.94 |
| 07-30 02:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.13 |
| 07-30 01:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 07-30 01:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $100.70 |
| 07-28 01:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1299999906 | $11.60 |
| 07-28 01:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.72 | $11.52 |
| 07-28 01:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7279999987 | $121.44 |
| 07-28 01:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $123.21 |
| 07-24 02:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $201.96 |
| 07-24 02:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $201.32 |
| 07-20 05:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $267.00 |