AlanYagami-T
0xe3d176f5eb48cd7c370236020cb6baee37a4d312
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $357.6k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.536US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$818.71at 0.407JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$604.86at 0.618US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
- +$558.99at 0.931Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$541.64at 0.327US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 02:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.1099166667 | $65.95 |
| 10-08 02:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.021396685 | $66.29 |
| 09-23 05:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $164.00 |
| 09-23 05:43 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1091943005 | $164.15 |
| 09-08 08:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $35.55 |
| 08-29 07:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $84.00 |
| 08-29 07:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $80.00 |
| 08-27 02:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $74.00 |
| 08-21 04:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $22.20 |
| 08-21 04:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $7.20 |
| 08-21 04:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $80.40 |
| 08-21 04:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 04:38 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $5.25 |
| 08-20 01:20 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $107.50 |
| 08-20 01:19 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0224686955 | $115.61 |