Rubadub
0xe3ca22c1bb6f3b637a9baff915d363422f945ed4
- Realised P&L
- $-157.63
- Volume
- $95.1k
- Markets traded
- 744
- Open portfolio
- $5.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded744
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.445 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.159 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Colombia leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance · Algeria | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · Manchester City FC | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Michael Olise: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$587.30at 0.630Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?
- +$557.96at 0.470Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?
- +$487.23at 0.820Rockets vs. Nets
- +$461.54at 0.520Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
- +$410.13at 0.320Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:11 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 00:09 | Spread: Rams (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 15:36 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 17:04 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 01:01 | Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:23 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 18:06 | Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 16:32 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 00:34 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 18:59 | Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 13:31 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 13:31 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 13:07 | Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.5692940274 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 01:55 | Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $4.00 |
| 09-08 01:54 | Nicolo Tresoldi: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |