0xe3be778889ffa2b22a2c03f22b3791e8957f93e9
0xe3be778889ffa2b22a2c03f22b3791e8957f93e9
- Realised P&L
- $-5.86
- Volume
- $291.31
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $0.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.670 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.06at 0.258SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$4.09at 0.339Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$3.91at 0.349Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.45at 0.460Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 03:56 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:46 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:12 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:02 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:01 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:27 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:01 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:57 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:31 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:29 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:27 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |