0xe3bb7ec25b5f91d207738cbc7c6e2892f691d213
0xe3bb7ec25b5f91d207738cbc7c6e2892f691d213
- Realised P&L
- $5.91
- Volume
- $260.99
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $2.71
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.580 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.175 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.230 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.67at 0.230Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.349Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$4.19at 0.359Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.76at 0.210Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 05:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:08 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:49 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 07:48 | Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:48 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:41 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 02:07 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 05:00 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 04:59 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 11:56 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 01:08 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |