0xe3b9fe01cdedbe01fecdd238d83135f4b41beeb6
- Realised P&L
- $-52.12
- Volume
- $608.58
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $110.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 17? · No | 0.960 | 0.980 | $40.83 | +$0.83 |
| Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? · No | 0.960 | 0.910 | $37.92 | −$2.08 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? · Yes | 0.954 | 0.999 | $10.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? · No | 0.955 | 0.993 | $10.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No | 0.951 | 0.989 | $10.39 | +$0.39 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Up | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Up | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.45at 0.683Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$7.59at 0.843Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.89at 0.732Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$1.70at 0.751Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$0.60at 0.944Will XRP reach $1.35 on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:31 | Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 16:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 19:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will XRP reach $1.35 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on September 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? | BUY | 0.955 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? | BUY | 0.953999996 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9599999693 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9529999485 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9509999958 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $10.00 |