0xE3B302BE8effe8A17E4C8B74D4939264303d96cd-1776964016894
0xe3b302be8effe8a17e4c8b74d4939264303d96cd
- Realised P&L
- $207.42
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $138.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.675 | $96.43 | −$3.57 |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.075 | $41.67 | −$8.33 |
| Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.15 |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$295.50at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$76.79at 0.352Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:14 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 09:13 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 11:07 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.0549999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 11:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $430.64 |
| 05-15 11:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1659999989 | $123.04 |
| 05-15 11:14 | Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.895772644 | $127.18 |
| 04-25 09:09 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $9.64 |
| 04-25 09:07 | Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.2542259161 | $50.00 |
| 04-25 09:07 | Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.3521528888 | $50.00 |