acqual
0xe3b191dd8c8768fb1e5619d09ed528b82ef14ff8
- Realised P&L
- $15.08
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $23.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $23.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.19at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?
- +$1.42at 0.999Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 3?
- +$0.93at 0.999Will XRP reach $1.40 on April 1?
- +$0.77at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 30?
- +$0.56at 0.999Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 08-29 19:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | BUY | 0.9989999296 | $14.00 |
| 08-29 19:01 | Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 22:56 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 05-15 18:03 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9969999793 | $21.00 |
| 04-04 00:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $379.95 |
| 04-04 00:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 3? | BUY | 0.9988002397 | $499.91 |
| 04-04 00:09 | Will Solana dip to $75 on April 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $329.95 |
| 04-03 06:27 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 3? | BUY | 0.9987391344 | $1.2k |
| 04-02 17:13 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $245 on April 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $407.38 |
| 04-02 17:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $165 on April 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 04-02 17:12 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on April 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 04-02 17:11 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on April 2? | BUY | 0.9989500524 | $300.00 |
| 04-02 01:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $206.22 |
| 04-02 01:52 | Will XRP reach $1.40 on April 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.86 |