brzi
0xe3af9f0f5fdcbb7e40df8081eb6ea3fdffb6c5f4
- Realised P&L
- $-44.43
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $592.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · No | 0.769 | 0.904 | $329.40 | +$49.40 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.660 | $66.41 | +$6.41 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.820 | $41.69 | +$11.69 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.195 | $40.30 | −$34.45 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.620 | $38.75 | −$11.25 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.899 | $35.98 | +$5.98 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.618 | 0.160 | $18.12 | −$51.88 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.033 | $9.36 | −$70.64 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.048 | $7.60 | −$18.64 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes | 0.826 | 0.054 | $4.72 | −$66.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.12at 0.799Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
- +$28.08at 0.782Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
- +$2.14at 0.903Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
- +$-1.48at 0.757Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
- +$-3.58at 0.074Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 20:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 21:56 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 21:45 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8592301298 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 21:42 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | SELL | 0.24 | $49.60 |
| 10-05 21:41 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8485015444 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 21:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | SELL | 0.07 | $15.45 |
| 09-21 01:42 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $21.69 |
| 08-27 19:36 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4299998481 | $1.50 |
| 08-27 19:33 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6756420999 | $20.00 |
| 06-23 21:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.56 |
| 06-23 21:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? | SELL | 0.0528522876 | $8.09 |
| 06-23 21:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | BUY | 0.3462567484 | $1.94 |
| 06-23 21:34 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | BUY | 0.3199638565 | $30.00 |
| 06-23 21:34 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | SELL | 0.1126466667 | $33.79 |
| 06-22 20:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | BUY | 0.1897938364 | $8.00 |