PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

brzi

0xe3af9f0f5fdcbb7e40df8081eb6ea3fdffb6c5f4

Realised P&L
$-214.13
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$835.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7690.867$315.56+$35.56
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · Yes0.7750.810$104.46+$4.46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? · Yes0.3620.235$97.14$52.36
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · Yes0.8000.845$52.81+$2.81
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.2820.155$43.96$36.04
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5900.835$42.46+$12.46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4200.785$37.38+$17.38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.7500.930$37.20+$7.20
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.6180.285$32.28$37.72
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.7220.535$30.77$10.73
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1660.125$19.80$6.45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? · Yes0.1730.085$18.76$19.39
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes0.8260.034$2.90$68.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 19:36Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.4299998481$1.50
08-27 19:33Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?BUY0.6756420999$20.00
06-23 21:38Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.36$7.56
06-23 21:37Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?SELL0.0528522876$8.09
06-23 21:35Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.3462567484$1.94
06-23 21:34Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.3199638565$30.00
06-23 21:34Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?SELL0.1126466667$33.79
06-22 20:35Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.1897938364$8.00
06-22 20:33Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.359999987$10.00
06-22 20:33Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?SELL0.71$18.93
06-22 19:46Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.179999958$3.00
06-22 19:46Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-22 19:45Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.1707067258$10.00
06-22 19:45Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.359999977$5.00
06-22 19:45Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.3522056881$10.00