PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Toobhunter

0xe3a8aff62da350466854ae9918511b12be14b7b9

Realised P&L
$-11.2k
Volume
$184.5k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$800.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.015$800.31−$24.89
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$20.65
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$16.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$146.06
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$22.00
49ers vs. Eagles · Eagles0.6700.000$0.00−$111.87
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$11.00
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$24.00
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$312.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 21:13Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0239999944$4.15
07-15 22:41Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY0.009$18.41
07-15 22:40Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY0.008$0.57
07-15 22:39Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.018$18.00
07-15 03:54Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY0.0089301923$39.66
07-15 03:49Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.019$43.62
07-11 21:34Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1799999932$20.65
07-06 02:13Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.016$48.00
06-30 03:07Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999999$119.69
06-21 18:21Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.0530546602$22.00
06-17 15:25Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.0120571323$5.00
06-17 02:34Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.008$2.61
06-17 02:33Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.007$11.00
06-16 03:37Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.0106029774$18.00
06-16 03:36Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.007$25.00