0xE3A7aC758614FD77C06465C39e24C3840Ac90C0e-1770145254702
0xe3a7ac758614fd77c06465c39e24c3840ac90c0e
- Realised P&L
- $-285.76
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $2.17 | −$4.56 |
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.86 |
| Will Solana dip to $50 in February? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.46 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.80at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$-6.76at 0.015Will the US strike Yemen next?
- +$-20.00at 0.005Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$-184.89at 0.010Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-13 22:05 | Will Solana dip to $50 in February? | BUY | 0.041 | $0.67 |
| 02-11 17:44 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $4.75 |
| 02-11 17:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.90 |
| 02-10 04:24 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 02-09 08:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.51 |
| 02-09 08:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $14.49 |
| 02-07 19:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01944608 | $4.86 |
| 02-07 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 18:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $9.99 |
| 02-07 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.004 | $0.80 |
| 02-04 21:38 | Will the US strike Yemen next? | BUY | 0.0143255814 | $5.67 |
| 02-03 23:02 | Will Germany join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.0442039384 | $25.00 |
| 02-03 22:51 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0055687706 | $20.00 |
| 02-03 19:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $150.00 |