PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE3A7aC758614FD77C06465C39e24C3840Ac90C0e-1770145254702

0xe3a7ac758614fd77c06465c39e24c3840ac90c0e

Realised P&L
$-285.76
Volume
$27.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$2.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$2.17$4.56
Will Germany join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$14.86
Will Solana dip to $50 in February? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$2.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-13 22:05Will Solana dip to $50 in February?BUY0.041$0.67
02-11 17:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.005$4.75
02-11 17:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$4.90
02-10 04:24Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.004$0.04
02-09 08:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$15.51
02-09 08:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$14.49
02-07 19:14Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.01944608$4.86
02-07 19:12Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.02$10.00
02-07 18:22Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.05$9.99
02-07 17:31Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.001$1.00
02-07 17:28Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.004$0.80
02-04 21:38Will the US strike Yemen next?BUY0.0143255814$5.67
02-03 23:02Will Germany join the Board of Peace?BUY0.0442039384$25.00
02-03 22:51Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0055687706$20.00
02-03 19:21Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$150.00