drril
0xe39fdbc06583eea39264f7c20f42795616ddc040
- Realised P&L
- $907.61
- Volume
- $120.2k
- Markets traded
- 752
- Open portfolio
- $33.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded752
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.23at 0.214Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?
- +$119.14at 0.172Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 26?
- +$113.23at 0.029Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?
- +$106.97at 0.650Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 21?
- +$97.06at 0.088Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.64 | $35.20 |
| 09-24 05:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.30 |
| 09-24 05:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 09-24 05:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 09-23 21:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.20 |
| 09-23 21:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.8340251196 | $13.94 |
| 09-23 20:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 09-23 20:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-23 14:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.79 |
| 09-23 14:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-23 12:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 09-23 12:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.68 | $7.65 |
| 09-23 12:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-23 12:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.18 |
| 09-23 12:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |