0xe3985b0cfbE86c83b6dcc723675Ffa6A9d91fEcd-1724084386892
0xe3985b0cfbe86c83b6dcc723675ffa6a9d91fecd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.59
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $73.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.13at 0.602Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
- +$16.92at 0.590Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$16.21at 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$6.34at 0.770Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$5.41at 0.610Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:26 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.76 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Spread: Raiders (-14.5) | BUY | 0.89 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 16:53 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.89 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 14:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $16.15 |
| 11-01 12:16 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.76 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 10:06 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 10:03 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.76 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 09:51 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 09:12 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 09:11 | Spread: Broncos (-16.5) | BUY | 0.93 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 05:21 | Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.968 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 05:20 | Spread: Rams (-14.5) | BUY | 0.76 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 04:31 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.82 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:50 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 250.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 18:49 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5) | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |