PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe3985b0cfbE86c83b6dcc723675Ffa6A9d91fEcd-1724084386892

0xe3985b0cfbe86c83b6dcc723675ffa6a9d91fecd

Realised P&L
$-1.59
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$73.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · No0.7600.745$19.61−$0.39
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.7970.901$16.97+$1.97
Spread: Raiders (-14.5) · Jets0.8901.000$11.24+$1.24
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · No0.8900.885$9.95−$0.06
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · No0.9680.962$4.97−$0.03
Spread: Broncos (-16.5) · Chiefs0.9300.900$4.84−$0.16
Spread: Rams (-14.5) · Chargers0.7600.645$4.24−$0.76
Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos0.4900.515$2.10+$0.10
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? · No0.2820.002$0.03−$4.97
Army vs. Memphis · Army0.3400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$5.00
Arizona vs. Texas Tech · Arizona0.3900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:26Cardinals vs. CowboysBUY0.76$5.00
11-01 16:54Spread: Raiders (-14.5)BUY0.89$10.00
11-01 16:53Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.89$10.00
11-01 14:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.992$16.15
11-01 12:16Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.76$10.00
11-01 10:06Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.75$10.00
11-01 10:03Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.76$10.00
11-01 09:51Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.56$5.00
11-01 09:12Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.93$5.00
11-01 09:11Spread: Broncos (-16.5)BUY0.93$5.00
11-01 05:21Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.968$5.00
11-01 05:20Spread: Rams (-14.5)BUY0.76$5.00
11-01 04:31Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.82$10.00
10-31 18:50Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 250.5BUY0.92$5.00
10-31 18:49Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5)BUY0.92$5.00