PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tobias1909

0xe394fd07cfceaceffcfab62afa3969afe8ec289c

Realised P&L
$69.5k
Volume
$3.86M
Markets traded
1,199
Open portfolio
$15.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,199
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7390.926$4.5k+$912.20
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4610.212$3.7k$4.4k
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.125$2.5k$100.76
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.5380.545$2.3k+$28.17
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0970.111$1.4k+$165.65
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · No0.4900.455$524.91$40.38
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8190.787$193.47$7.63
Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes0.6980.755$168.37+$12.80
Will Villarreal qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · No0.7150.850$136.56+$21.69
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5680.022$58.66$1.5k
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7400.889$54.31+$9.13
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings · Yes0.4310.371$54.15$8.83
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0960.005$45.66$751.34
Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes0.5000.375$22.50$7.50
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1170.005$13.31$270.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 20:10Will Villarreal qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.7149794597$114.87
09-14 20:07Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?BUY0.54$1.9k
09-14 20:06Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?BUY0.5284486784$337.27
09-14 19:06Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?BUY0.49$565.28
09-13 18:41Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.6515822686$333.52
09-13 18:41Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.67575$27.03
09-13 18:41Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.6849573597$160.64
09-13 18:41Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.6875526462$481.06
09-13 18:40Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.6838950957$292.84
09-13 18:40Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.6879075145$107.11
09-13 18:38Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.6990562701$1.7k
09-13 18:30Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.7$214.20
09-13 18:23Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsBUY0.4315149024$62.98
09-13 17:16Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.42$5.6k
09-13 14:28Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.96$1.1k