DashiellRavenor
0xe39284dc1f71be12d4c0232a58bd2fcc9f054de9
- Realised P&L
- $-67.69
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $11.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.495 | $11.92 | −$1.08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.97 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak · Kamil Majchrzak | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.57at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$27.68at 0.805Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova
- +$16.68at 0.854Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva
- +$13.16at 0.864Birmingham: Felix Gill vs Kamil Majchrzak
- +$9.28at 0.844Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:27 | Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? | BUY | 0.5399999826 | $13.00 |
| 07-03 06:58 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.84 | $7.30 |
| 07-03 06:57 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8299999889 | $8.20 |
| 07-03 06:57 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6899999567 | $4.30 |
| 07-03 06:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $8.00 |
| 06-11 18:36 | Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $85.00 |
| 06-11 18:34 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.51 | $88.58 |
| 06-07 16:04 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6209539574 | $107.85 |
| 06-07 07:26 | Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak | BUY | 0.5523552175 | $41.39 |
| 06-07 07:26 | Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu | BUY | 0.8399999879 | $50.00 |
| 06-06 11:33 | Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova | BUY | 0.8 | $113.43 |
| 06-04 13:51 | Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.8499999991 | $97.00 |
| 06-04 10:54 | Birmingham: Felix Gill vs Kamil Majchrzak | BUY | 0.8599999994 | $83.00 |
| 05-27 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $33.00 |