PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

charlie0913

0xe38e5c99c7d96adc261d8a41f057d7bbbbd35a57

Realised P&L
$-7.16
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$126.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.4241.000$22.48+$12.95
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22? · No0.3200.360$22.27+$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 22? · No0.4801.000$19.99+$10.39
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22? · No0.4300.415$17.41$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.1750.155$16.51$2.13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 22? · No0.6911.000$14.31+$4.41
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 22? · Yes0.2100.255$5.14+$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 22? · Yes0.2300.135$3.38$2.37
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22? · No0.5800.640$3.20+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 22? · Yes0.2500.245$1.23$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22? · No0.2460.005$0.09$4.42
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? · No0.1100.005$0.06$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22? · Yes0.1770.001$0.03$9.95
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 22? · Yes0.1000.001$0.02$4.71
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 22? · Yes0.1330.001$0.02$6.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:04Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.1731782541$3.31
09-22 16:01Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.25$1.25
09-22 16:01Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.4299999936$18.04
09-22 15:07Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 22?BUY0.21$4.23
09-22 15:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 22?BUY0.58$2.90
09-22 15:04Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.1520005963$5.10
09-22 14:54Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?SELL0.21$8.82
09-22 14:04Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.1899999974$10.23
09-22 14:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.11$1.12
09-22 13:07Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.32$19.80
09-22 13:07Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.23$5.75
09-22 11:53Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22?SELL0.2225$4.45
09-22 11:25Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.3599999972$10.36
09-22 11:25Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.4599999944$19.74
09-22 10:53Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.2$5.46