Nikoliora
0xe38bd16c7f23ef2d8a4c66b0f559c96179a58996
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $664.5k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $2.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$711.42at 0.375Will Solana dip to $140 in June?
- +$674.13at 0.935Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
- +$483.86at 0.944Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
- +$423.47at 0.982Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?
- +$330.55at 0.273Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 11:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $995.00 |
| 08-24 17:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-24 13:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2482742457 | $160.00 |
| 08-21 17:25 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.984270442 | $999.00 |
| 08-21 17:23 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9762900976 | $1000.00 |
| 08-21 17:14 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9499999978 | $370.00 |
| 08-21 17:08 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.936209475 | $500.00 |
| 08-21 16:58 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.8653563746 | $120.68 |
| 08-20 18:13 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $34.42 |
| 08-20 18:05 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SELL | 0.8212174545 | $451.67 |
| 08-19 20:46 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $131.99 |
| 08-13 02:00 | Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 08-13 02:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August? | SELL | 0.998 | $42.93 |
| 08-13 01:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August? | SELL | 0.999 | $43.00 |
| 08-13 01:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | SELL | 0.993 | $61.55 |