PolyBot

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Traders

Nikoliora

0xe38bd16c7f23ef2d8a4c66b0f559c96179a58996

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$664.5k
Markets traded
364
Open portfolio
$2.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded364
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · No0.1200.126$2.67+$0.12
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in July? · No0.6000.000$0.00$5.66
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$5.10
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$30.00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in August? · No0.1500.000$0.00$28.48
ODI Series England vs India: England vs India · England0.0100.000$0.00$6.70
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings · Mumbai Indians0.1640.000$0.00$65.56
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings · Delhi Capitals0.6600.000$0.00$423.73
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad · Rajasthan Royals0.3360.000$0.00$268.89
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · No0.2480.000$0.00$160.00
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · No0.0700.000$0.00$5.60
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$30.00
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July? · No0.3110.000$0.00$171.32
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals · Lucknow Super Giants0.3330.000$0.00$33.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 11:15Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?BUY0.995$995.00
08-24 17:26Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.01$0.05
08-24 13:44Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.2482742457$160.00
08-21 17:25Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.984270442$999.00
08-21 17:23Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.9762900976$1000.00
08-21 17:14Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.9499999978$370.00
08-21 17:08Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.936209475$500.00
08-21 16:58Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.8653563746$120.68
08-20 18:13Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.82$34.42
08-20 18:05Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.8212174545$451.67
08-19 20:46Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.66$131.99
08-13 02:00Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?SELL0.998$49.90
08-13 02:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?SELL0.998$42.93
08-13 01:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?SELL0.999$43.00
08-13 01:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?SELL0.993$61.55