0xE38235e7090a50e7EeC61ABfa35b3E822F3E8E3a-1776994321368
0xe38235e7090a50e7eec61abfa35b3e822f3e8e3a
- Realised P&L
- $-22.31
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $128.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $44.64 | −$5.36 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.545 | $27.09 | +$12.09 |
| Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.289 | $25.85 | +$10.85 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.202 | $13.65 | +$3.65 |
| Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.115 | $8.88 | −$6.12 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $7.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.009 | $0.45 | −$9.55 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.92at 0.260Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$15.03at 0.308Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
- +$-47.51at 0.039Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:05 | Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.1942078342 | $15.00 |
| 09-07 20:15 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 20:15 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1479999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 22:34 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 22:30 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.1679999912 | $15.00 |
| 07-08 12:23 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.57 |
| 05-13 18:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.301999987 | $15.00 |
| 05-12 14:59 | Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.62337577 | $30.36 |
| 05-10 14:15 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999987 | $50.00 |
| 05-08 12:36 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1869999877 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 01:04 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 04-26 23:40 | Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.3079470083 | $15.00 |
| 04-24 18:20 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0389423264 | $50.00 |