0xe37dF95EE237cA292a35d2CD0b55AB868daAbbe8-1782318555560
0xe37df95ee237ca292a35d2cd0b55ab868daabbe8
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $60.1k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $88.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.065 | $85.63 | −$64.37 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.002 | $3.14 | −$496.85 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.584 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$520.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$382.63 |
| Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.467Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$1.1kat 0.490Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?
- +$873.10at 0.781Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$858.30at 0.511Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$734.97at 0.371Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:22 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.91 | $631.94 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.9 | $625.00 |
| 11-01 21:02 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $300.00 |
| 11-01 21:02 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.36 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 20:20 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.89 | $342.31 |
| 11-01 19:17 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.86 | $330.76 |
| 11-01 18:38 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.76 | $674.26 |
| 11-01 18:33 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3526017104 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2999999999 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 18:28 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.71 | $629.90 |
| 11-01 17:29 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |