0xe37cc303BFA7D00B908d074631599ff101bc07b4-1782746688617
0xe37cc303bfa7d00b908d074631599ff101bc07b4
- Realised P&L
- $-546.33
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 311
- Open portfolio
- $14.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded311
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.029 | $7.44 | −$2.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.200 | $7.41 | −$2.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.19at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$58.91at 0.308Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$41.47at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$33.51at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$29.00at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0383276864 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.3095778645 | $17.45 |
| 10-11 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.6124144487 | $9.66 |
| 10-11 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.6336633663 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.177359122 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6021479581 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.21 | $8.13 |
| 10-07 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2583484794 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5111871258 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.71 |
| 10-06 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |