PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vi.

0xe37c693b9bb21d7f88b82b8834dd8a3c33703f0d

Realised P&L
$-259.87
Volume
$123.7k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1820.951$543.29+$439.19
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.141$212.63+$1.59
Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0090.006$98.86−$30.53
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0370.026$91.84−$35.33
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0100.018$54.02+$23.78
Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0050.004$45.01−$7.07
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.5270.120$40.28−$136.60
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.040$1.33+$0.33
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.040$0.67−$2.56
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.1110.000$0.00−$313.80
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$4.85
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$3.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:00Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-11 15:16Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.008$0.20
10-11 15:16Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.005$0.03
10-10 06:15Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$63.00
10-10 06:14Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$70.00
10-10 06:14Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$70.00
10-10 06:13Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$7.00
10-10 05:50Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.0096781549$74.42
10-10 05:47Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.058$2.15
10-10 05:47Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.0558833922$31.63
10-10 05:46Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.051$0.51
07-08 04:01GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?BUY0.055700906$5.47
07-08 03:59GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?BUY0.1263120561$140.14
07-07 22:45Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?BUY0.006$3.18
07-07 22:43GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?BUY0.1598224195$45.00