vi.
0xe37c693b9bb21d7f88b82b8834dd8a3c33703f0d
- Realised P&L
- $70.12
- Volume
- $89.1k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $608.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.182 | 0.936 | $535.29 | +$431.18 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes | 0.527 | 0.215 | $72.18 | −$104.70 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.055 | $0.94 | −$2.29 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$313.80 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.85 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.45at 0.722Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$229.27at 0.687Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$192.39at 0.218Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$145.74at 0.484Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
- +$105.45at 0.494Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 04:01 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.055700906 | $5.47 |
| 07-08 03:59 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1263120561 | $140.14 |
| 07-07 22:45 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.18 |
| 07-07 22:43 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1598224195 | $45.00 |
| 07-07 20:48 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0214901961 | $4.38 |
| 07-07 20:47 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $29.00 |
| 07-07 20:46 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0094008016 | $0.47 |
| 07-07 20:45 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 07-03 09:03 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0945474373 | $2.60 |
| 05-14 22:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.23 |
| 05-13 02:37 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.64 |
| 05-12 19:02 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.77 |
| 05-12 18:52 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $131.95 |
| 04-30 11:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.86 |
| 04-30 11:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |