vi.
0xe37c693b9bb21d7f88b82b8834dd8a3c33703f0d
- Realised P&L
- $-259.87
- Volume
- $123.7k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.27at 0.687Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$192.39at 0.218Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$145.74at 0.484Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
- +$105.45at 0.494Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$72.50at 0.140Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:00 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:16 | Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.20 |
| 10-11 15:16 | Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-10 06:15 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $63.00 |
| 10-10 06:14 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 10-10 06:14 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 10-10 06:13 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 10-10 05:50 | Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.0096781549 | $74.42 |
| 10-10 05:47 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.15 |
| 10-10 05:47 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.0558833922 | $31.63 |
| 10-10 05:46 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.051 | $0.51 |
| 07-08 04:01 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.055700906 | $5.47 |
| 07-08 03:59 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1263120561 | $140.14 |
| 07-07 22:45 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.18 |
| 07-07 22:43 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1598224195 | $45.00 |