Verdamen
0xe379d0518db9a894e87289c870505be369306960
- Realised P&L
- $-214.10
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 784
- Open portfolio
- $43.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded784
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.75at 0.069Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
- +$54.13at 0.088Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$30.59at 0.144Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$28.05at 0.592Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?
- +$24.47at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4899999484 | $2.66 |
| 10-01 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.0752400723 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4599999583 | $2.87 |
| 09-30 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.72 |
| 09-30 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4499999852 | $3.05 |
| 09-30 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5699999436 | $3.03 |
| 09-30 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4499999852 | $3.05 |
| 09-30 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5017741418 | $3.05 |
| 09-30 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5999999607 | $3.05 |
| 09-30 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4399999655 | $3.06 |
| 09-30 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4699999784 | $3.05 |
| 09-30 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4399999655 | $3.06 |
| 09-30 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.95 |
| 09-30 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |