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0xe372051ab9cb16397bcfa85fbb203acc280e2d51
- Realised P&L
- $-966.28
- Volume
- $220.5k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.610 | 0.605 | $1.3k | −$10.65 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.400 | 0.495 | $77.96 | +$14.96 |
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | 0.450 | 0.505 | $14.85 | +$1.62 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.439 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$584.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago Cubs | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Boston Red Sox | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$784.48 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.445 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants · Yomiuri Giants | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.39 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.42 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$390.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.389Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$3.8kat 0.327Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$2.4kat 0.209Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.3kat 0.632Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$2.0kat 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:41 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.61 | $1.3k |
| 09-16 18:43 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $711.00 |
| 09-15 08:48 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $640.00 |
| 09-14 23:32 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 23:32 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 23:32 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $710.00 |
| 09-13 20:04 | Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $2.0k |
| 09-13 07:46 | Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.48 | $135.00 |
| 09-12 08:53 | Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.48 | $300.00 |
| 09-10 15:38 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4699999998 | $1.0k |
| 09-10 08:54 | Yomiuri Giants vs. Chunichi Dragons | BUY | 0.5399999996 | $450.00 |
| 09-09 23:34 | Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $2.0k |
| 09-09 01:29 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $1.3k |
| 09-04 22:35 | Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $450.00 |
| 09-03 20:51 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5399999996 | $600.00 |