PoPoPoBo
0xe370beea19e5c3fdf5cc9a567d921e4fb2f630f9
- Realised P&L
- $-138.64
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $25.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.615 | $18.45 | +$5.55 |
| Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.135 | $2.20 | +$0.90 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.058 | $1.74 | −$0.96 |
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.077 | $1.54 | −$0.42 |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.100 | $0.66 | +$0.07 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.004 | $0.58 | −$2.81 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.011 | $0.57 | −$2.42 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $0.15 | −$0.83 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.002 | $0.09 | −$1.46 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.39at 0.310Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
- +$0.88at 0.520Selena Gomez married in 2025?
- +$-0.52at 0.175New pandemic in 2025?
- +$-0.84at 0.028OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
- +$-1.00at 0.010Will the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 19:24 | Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | BUY | 0.098 | $0.98 |
| 04-26 11:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 01-22 10:59 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.05 |
| 01-22 10:58 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.57 |
| 01-22 10:56 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%? | BUY | 0.0264990622 | $3.39 |
| 01-22 10:56 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.23 |
| 06-05 17:12 | China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 06-05 17:11 | China x Philippines military clash by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 06-05 17:10 | China x India military clash by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 02-26 16:50 | Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 02-26 16:48 | New pandemic in 2025? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.48 |
| 02-26 16:48 | Selena Gomez married in 2025? | SELL | 0.749 | $2.88 |
| 01-30 15:43 | Will any Democratic Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr? | BUY | 0.1399999194 | $1.39 |
| 01-02 21:48 | TikTok banned in 2025? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 21:47 | Selena Gomez married in 2025? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |