Mudlark-E
0xe36be4299389ca38494078c8714c310bbe8cc255
- Realised P&L
- $13.41
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $52.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18? · Yes | 0.952 | 0.994 | $29.85 | +$1.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 18? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.993 | $23.09 | +$0.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.88at 0.857Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7?
- +$7.27at 0.882Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6?
- +$7.19at 0.875Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?
- +$4.63at 0.933Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 7?
- +$4.04at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $22.32 |
| 10-18 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.85 |
| 10-18 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9504990024 | $23.76 |
| 10-18 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.07 |
| 10-18 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.18 |
| 10-18 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.46 |
| 10-18 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $28.94 |
| 10-17 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.68 |
| 10-17 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.58 |
| 10-17 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.9500682927 | $9.74 |
| 10-17 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.97 | $28.13 |
| 10-17 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.9299999984 | $23.37 |
| 10-17 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.15 |
| 10-17 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.64 |
| 10-17 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.17 |