PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mudlark-E

0xe36be4299389ca38494078c8714c310bbe8cc255

Realised P&L
$13.41
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$52.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18? · Yes0.9520.994$29.85+$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 18? · Yes0.9600.993$23.09+$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17? · Yes0.9550.000$0.00−$39.39
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$39.01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00−$37.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 05:09Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 18?BUY0.96$22.32
10-18 05:06Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?BUY0.96$4.85
10-18 03:05Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?BUY0.9504990024$23.76
10-18 00:48Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 17?SELL0.999$25.07
10-18 00:32Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 17?SELL0.999$24.18
10-18 00:26Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17?SELL0.998$21.46
10-18 00:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17?SELL0.998$28.94
10-17 23:56Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 17?SELL0.999$18.68
10-17 22:16Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 17?BUY0.97$13.58
10-17 22:16Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 17?BUY0.9500682927$9.74
10-17 22:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17?BUY0.97$28.13
10-17 21:55Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 17?BUY0.9299999984$23.37
10-17 21:26Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 17?SELL0.999$51.15
10-17 21:22Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17?BUY0.96$20.64
10-17 21:05Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 17?SELL0.999$25.17