PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

avid-reader

0xe36a309d6f0eaef9a6da0ab12cfa6a2fbd29ae58

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$100.4k
Markets traded
6,503
Open portfolio
$481.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,503
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Allen have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5300.475$89.62−$10.38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.7100.705$49.65−$0.35
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3400.375$33.09+$3.09
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.1100.355$32.27+$22.27
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.715$30.21+$0.21
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8100.805$29.81−$0.19
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.735$29.80−$0.20
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.705$29.38−$0.62
Will Josh Allen have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.1900.460$24.21+$14.21
Will Josh Allen have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4600.830$18.04+$8.04
Will Josh Allen have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6200.910$14.68+$4.68
Will Josh Allen have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3200.465$14.53+$4.53
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0900.125$13.89+$3.89
Will Parker Washington have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5700.575$10.09+$0.09
Will Josh Allen have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5000.490$9.80−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:45Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.7199999942$30.00
11-01 20:45Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.3399999966$30.00
11-01 20:44Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.8099999957$30.00
11-01 20:44Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.739999997$30.00
11-01 20:43Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999953$30.00
11-01 20:422026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.709999998$50.00
11-01 19:38James Cook III: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.5599999955$10.00
11-01 19:33Ravens vs. BillsBUY0.8699999999$500.00
11-01 12:13Ravens vs. BillsBUY0.6199999971$30.00
11-01 12:10Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.3099999986$30.00
10-24 14:18Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)BUY0.7699999992$30.00
10-24 14:18Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.2799999978$30.00
10-18 23:01Bills vs. RaidersBUY0.6599999979$50.00
10-17 15:35Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.3$30.00
10-12 17:45Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5BUY0.5099999776$5.00