PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

deranged

0xe36746e0df2302f4a3c371f0e3afa0bfb0bc7e04

Realised P&L
$-587.47
Volume
$6.38M
Markets traded
1,242
Open portfolio
$30.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,242
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.005$17.72$7.06
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0470.056$12.54+$1.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 19:56Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.0386686747$6.42
07-03 20:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on July 3?BUY0.999$69.93
06-05 11:13Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.032$2.33
06-04 00:08Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$1.02
05-28 09:53Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?SELL0.991$0.10
05-26 22:20Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 26?BUY0.999$4.4k
05-26 22:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?BUY0.999$999.07
05-26 22:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?SELL0.998$1.7k
05-26 21:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?BUY0.999$999.07
05-26 19:04Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 26?BUY0.999$1.3k
05-26 19:03Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 26?BUY0.998$857.78
05-26 18:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?BUY0.998$2.9k
05-26 18:10Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?BUY0.999$719.88
05-26 17:59Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?BUY0.999$675.36
05-26 17:35Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?BUY0.999$6.57